Dossier: Central America & the Caribbean

Dossier: Central America & the Caribbean

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Published: February 11, 2026

$ 29.95

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Central America and the Caribbean sit at the crossroads of crime, migration, energy and great-power competition. The U.S.’s January 2026 intervention in Venezuela adds new pressure to an already fragile regional balance, creating new challenges and opportunities 

Description

Central America and the Caribbean are grappling with compounded pressures from organized crime, migration flows and shifting geopolitical fault lines, all against a backdrop of institutional fragility and economic stress. The removal of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro by U.S. forces in January 2026 – following months of escalating tension and military operations in the region – has injected fresh uncertainty into an already complex regional order.  

In El Salvador, an aggressive security crackdown has dramatically reduced gang activity but raised concerns about civil liberties and long-term sustainability. Nicaragua continues to tighten political control, limiting space for dissent while deepening isolation from parts of the hemisphere. Cuba, facing renewed economic and energy strain since the removal of Mr. Maduro and a now shaky future with its ally Venezuela, remains a key reference point in regional debates over sovereignty, sanctions and regime resilience.  

Meanwhile, Caribbean states confront a different but interconnected set of pressures. Haiti remains trapped in a cycle of gang violence, state collapse and humanitarian crisis, driving displacement within the Caribbean and onward migration. Jamaica has combined targeted security operations with economic and social interventions, yet still has one of the world’s highest homicide rates. Together, these cases illustrate how crime, governance choices and external shocks – including shifts linked to U.S. policy toward Venezuela – are producing uneven outcomes that continue to shape migration, security cooperation and political stability across Central America and the Caribbean. 

 

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